Why Zillow Estimates are Wrong

Our colleague from Washington DC, Lise Howe, sends a very clear message about Zillow's "Zestimates." The points she makes are valid here in the San Francisco bay area as well as DC and elsewhere.

My suggestion: have fun with the site if you wish, then contact your real estate expert and request a market analysis of comparable sales.

 

You want to know how much your home is worth, so what do you do? If you are like many buyers and sellers around the country, you go to Zillow to get a valuation of your home. But how does Zillow actually work?  Is it accurate? Can you rely on it? Should you rely on it? 

 

Sites like Zillow utilize an automated valuation model (AVM) to determine the worth of a property. Automated valuation models rely on basic property characteristics like the number of bedrooms and baths,  square footage, publicly available data, price trends and local market information to arrive at an estimated value for a property.  The name AVM says it all - it is an automated model.  It does not allow for variables that will give you an accurate valuation. 

 

Zillow works on the averaging principle. Using a complex proprietary math equation Zillow analyzes numbers from past sales (comps) to estimate your home's worth.  Simply stated, Zillow values your home without ever seeing it.  Obviously a valuation without seeing your home is going to be only an estimate.  Even Zillow CEO Spencer Rascoff said that the Zillow estimates are only a starting point with an 8% median rate of error.

Why isn’t Zillow Accurate? There are several reasons for this.

Zillow does not have a way of evaluating property condition and capital improvements. Zillow doesn’t know if I still have the pink shag carpet from my childhood or the new Brazilian cherry hardwood floors I put in last year in my basement. It doesn't know anything about my home except square footage and the number of bedrooms. Even if my home is surrounded by homes that have a similar square footage, do I really think my Zestimate is going to be accurate if it can’t take into account property condition?  

Zillow doesn't have a way of evaluating the location of a particular home within the community.  You know that a home under a high voltage transmission line is going to have a different value than one in the same community on a quiet cul de sac out of sight of that power line.  A home near the playground of the local elementary school will likely have a different value than one backing to a high school parking lot.  

Zillow doesn’t distinguish between colonials and ramblers, condos and single families.  A valuation model limited to bedrooms and square footage won’t distinguish between architectural styles but everyone will agree that there is a difference in consumer preference between colonials and ramblers or condos and single families that will affect value.

Zillow doesn’t distinguish between types of sales. A property sold between family members may well have a different price than the same home sold on the open market.  Similarly a property sold as a short sale or after a foreclosure will be valued differently by consumers – but not by Zillow.  But you know very well that your neighbor’s short sale did not bring the same price that you should receive for your home. 

As a local Realtor with 28 years experience, I understand those differences.  If you are interested in finding out the real value of your home, please call me at 240-401-5577 for a complementary, no obligation analysis that considers all the relevant variables or email me at lise@lisehowe.com! Don't guess! Find out! 

If you are looking for a home in the DC metro area, you know there is more to the process than just picking a property and making an offer. You need to find the best location for your wants and needs, get a great price, and work with a lender who will make your life easier - not harder.  Trust your search with a Realtor who is licensed in DC, MD and VA and really knows the city and all its secret neighborhoods.

Start your search with the Lise Howe Group, Washington Natives who love the city and all its quirkiness! If you are moving or relocating to Washington DC, be sure to ask for our relocation guide. Call us at 240-401-5577 to schedule an appointment or email us at lise@lisehowe.com.  Too excited to wait to talk to us about a great home? Just click here to start that home search.

If you want to see what is for sale in Washington DC, Chevy Chase and Bethesda, check out these links below:

Bethesda Condos for Sale

Chevy Chase Condos for Sale

Bethesda Single Family Luxury Homes

 

Chevy Chase Single Family Luxury Homes

Luxury Single Family Washington DC Homes

Washington DC Single Family Homes Under $1 Million

 

Washington DC Condos

 

Lise Howe
Keller Williams Capital Properties
240-401-5577 (24 hour direct)
Licensed in DC, MD, and VA
Associate Broker, GRI, ABR, CRS
The Lise Howe Group
Howe Real Estate Should Be!
www.lisehowegroup.com

www.bethesdahomesforsale.com

www.kenwood-forest.com

www.thelisehowegroup.com

www.homesinchevychasebethesda.com

 

 

       

--- Come for a visit; Stay for a lifetime!

Lottie Kendall, Realtor®

Today | Sotheby's International Realty

San Carlos, California, 94070

CA BRE#01215160; 650-465-4547

Lottie@LottieKendall.com;

www.LottieKendall.com

www.SFCondosForMe.com

 

 

Comment balloon 12 commentsLottie Kendall • August 05 2016 07:22AM

Comments

Good morning Lottie. This is a terrific delineation of what's wrong with Zillow. Good choice for a re-blog.

Posted by Sheila Anderson, The Real Estate Whisperer Who Listens 732-715-1133 (Referral Group Incorporated) 12 months ago

 I've already commented on Lise Howe blog but I want to thank you for the re-blog Lottie Kendall 

Posted by Paul S. Henderson, CRS, REALTOR®,, Tacoma Washington Agent/Broker & Market Authority! (RE/MAX Professionals.) 12 months ago

Hi there, Lottie. Your reblog must be at least the sixth one I've seen today. Obviously a message that reverberated and also one that can't be repeated enough!

Posted by Nina Hollander, Your Charlotte/Waxhaw/Fort Mill Area Realtor (RE/MAX Executive | Charlotte, NC) 12 months ago

Lottie Kendall - Lise Howe did a great job is explaining why these large mega real estate site have incorrect estimates of value. A great re-blog!

Posted by Laura Allen, Lake Tahoe - Truckee Real Estate for Sale www.TahoeLauraLuxuryHomes.com, Tahoe Real Estate Agent Helping Buyers and Sellers (Coldwell Banker, Tahoe City, CA (530) 414-1260) 12 months ago

The inacuracy of Zillow estimates can give unreasonable expectations to homebuyers, and can cause issues for sellers too.  This was a great post to reblog!

Posted by Myrl Jeffcoat, Greater Sacramento Real Estate Agent (GreatWest Realty) 12 months ago

Lottie

So true . . . . Zillow Estimator leaves a lot to be desired.

Good luck and success.

Lou Ludwig

Posted by Lou Ludwig, Designations Earned CRB, CRS, CIPS, GRI, SRES, TRC (Ludwig & Associates) 12 months ago

Lottie I have written so many posts about the platform that it effected my relationship with the powers to be on this platform and I have paid the price but I am so with our friend Lise Howe  Z should be ashamed of their lack of knowledge...funny part is their CEO overpaid in the 90049 zip code on his own house:))Endre

Posted by Endre Barath, Jr., Realtor - Los Angeles Home Sales 310.486.1002 (Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices) 12 months ago

Even when I have MLS at my fingertips and run the comparable sales, I find that I probably change my estimate 50% of the time, once I'm inside the home. Only a professional Realtor or an experienced appraiser can determine value.

Posted by Elizabeth Weintraub Sacramento Real Estate Agent, Top 1% of Lyon Agents, Put 40 years of experience to work for you (Lyon Real Estate) 12 months ago

I missed this original, but what a great one to reblog.  Will have to run leave a comment with Lise too.

Posted by Chris Ann Cleland, Associate Broker, Northern VA (Long and Foster REALTORS®, Gainesville, VA) 12 months ago

I don't reblog often, Chris Ann Cleland,  but this post of Lise's called out for it.

You are so right, Elizabeth Weintraub Sacramento Real Estate Agent, Top 1% of Lyon Agents - so many intangibles go into the value of a home.

Posted by Lottie Kendall, Serving San Mateo County and San Francisco (Today | Sotheby's International Realty) 12 months ago

Too funny, Lottie but, I JUST got off of my phone with my son who is relocating and I told him NOT to phone, click any 'contact me' buttons or do ANYTHING but, look at homes there...to contact his real estate agent for the REAL scoop!  Great post for re-blogging for sure!

Posted by Debe Maxwell, CRS, Charlotte Homes for Sale - Charlotte Neighborhoods (www.AtHomesCharlotte.com | The Maxwell House Group | RE/MAX Executive | (704) 491-3310) 11 months ago

We all know the numbers are wild, but once a person hears a number they like, getting them to listen to the real value is like trying to unring a bell.

Posted by Bob Crane, Forestland Experts! 715-204-9671 (Woodland Management Service) 11 months ago

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